On Awards Season SAG and Golden Globes

The Golden Globe Award nominations are out and whether you like or respect the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, and for the record, I don’t respect them at all, NBC has legitimized the Globes as a show that predicts the Oscar season. So, with that caveat out of the way let’s see what the Golden Globes are predicting this year with a list of the winners and losers in the Golden Globe and SAG Award nominations.

Winner: “The Imitation Game”

Best Picture nominations from both SAG and the Golden Globes puts the Alan Turing biopic in position as a surefire Academy Award Best Picture nominee and one of five movies with a serious chance of winning Best Picture. Star Benedict Cumberbatch and co-star Keira Knightley are also looking as if they are guaranteed a shot at a little gold man, each grabbed nominations for both SAG and Golden Globes. For my money, “The Imitation Game” is one of two highly overrated biopics about English geniuses but in terms of objective observation of Awards season, “The Imitation Game” is now among the elite favorites for the Oscars.

Loser: “Gone Girl”

While I can talk till I am blue in the face about why “Gone Girl” is the best film of 2014 the returns from SAG and the Golden Globes place “Gone Girl” pretty much out of the race in terms of winning Best Picture. That the Golden Globes still nominated David Fincher for Best Director shows that “Gone Girl” was close to a nomination for Best Picture but falling short at both SAG and the Golden Globes is pretty much a fate sealer. Ben Affleck and Carrie Coon need not get excited for Oscar night, no nominations for either of them mean their awards season has come to an end. Rosamund Pike and the Adapted Screenplay by Gillian Flynn are still serious players but “Gone Girl” deserves better.

Winner: “The Theory of Everything”

The other highly over-rated English genius biopic, “The Theory of Everything,” is officially a Best Picture frontrunner. Nominations for both SAG and The Golden Globes place “The Theory of Everything” in the elite company of 5 movies nominated for both high profile awards of the season. Eddie Redmayne’s remarkably over-praised performance as Stephen Hawking, which is mostly based on physical contortion, is now on par with Michael Keaton in “Birdman” and Benedict Cumberbatch in the Best Actor race and Felicity Jones has pretty much singlehandedly squeezed Amy Adams’s performance in “Big Eyes” out of the Oscar race.

Loser: “American Sniper”

No movie took as severe a knockout punch from SAG and the Golden Globes than “American Sniper.” The Clint Eastwood directed war movie starring Bradley Cooper was completely shut out of both SAG and the Golden Globes.

Winner: “Foxcatcher”

Just when it seemed like the Steve Carell led flick about the real life drama surrounding John DuPont and Olympic wrestling brothers Mark and David Schultz was losing awards momentum after its soft box office launch, “Foxcatcher” has leapt back into the race in a big way. Steve Carell has emerged as a real challenge to Michael Keaton for Best Actor while Mark Ruffalo is now a shoo-in nominee for Best Supporting Actor. The lack of love for director Bennett Miller does seem to hamper the film’s chances of winning Best Picture but a Best Picture nomination now seems a sure bet.

Loser: “Inherent Vice”

Paul Thomas Anderson’s “Inherent Vice” received no love from SAG but the biggest blow came from the Golden Globes which failed to nominate the film for Best Picture Musical or Comedy. That the HFPA saw “Inherent Vice” is a comedy is proven by the nomination for Joaquin Phoenix for Best Actor in a Comedy but that they didn’t feel “Inherent Vice” was more deserving than “St. Vincent” or the almost completely unknown “Pride” speaks volumes to how little a chance “Inherent Vice” has of scoring an Academy Best Picture nod.

Winner: “The Grand Budapest Hotel”

“The Grand Budapest Hotel” is a legitimate Best Picture contender. As one of five films to receive Best Picture nominations from both SAG and the Golden Globes, assures that Wes Anderson’s least interesting work is going to get a Best Picture nomination. There is even an outside chance that Ralph Fiennes could be a Best Actor race spoiler for those who like to take the long odds in Las Vegas.

Loser: “Interstellar”

Other than “American Sniper” no film got beat up quite as much as Christopher Nolan’s  space epic “Interstellar.” The cast was completely ignored by SAG and the Golden Globes and with Nolan overlooked for Best Director, the film’s fate is sealed in the Oscar Best Picture race. That said, “Interstellar” will still likely dominate the technical Oscars, though that is cold comfort to a massive epic that had high hopes to be a box office and awards smash.

Winner: “Boyhood”

“Boyhood” is fast becoming the Academy front runner with critics groups returning the early year release to the public consciousness and now SAG and the Golden Globes anointing the film a full-fledged front runner with nominations for both Ethan Hawke and Patricia Arquette in the Supporting categories and a surprise Golden Globe nomination for director Richard Linklater. If star Ellar Coltrane had broken into the lead actor category it might be a dead heat between “Boyhood” and “Birdman.”

Loser: “Unbroken”

If lukewarm critical response wasn’t enough to begin sinking Angelina Jolie’s World War II biopic, the lack of SAG and Golden Globe love will surely finish off “Unbroken” as an Oscar Best Picture candidate. Star Jack O’Connell and co-stars Domhnall Gleason and Takamasa Ishihara are also finished following their lack of nominations.

Winner: Jake Gyllenhaal in “Nightcrawler”

He’s like the fifth and most vulnerable Best Actor Oscar candidates but Jake Gyllenhaal is now firmly in the conversation about a Best Actor nomination. The “Nightcrawler” campaign has been aggressive with screeners arriving to voters just as the film was rolling back out to theaters for a second run. Gyllenhaal’s performance was much praised but it wasn’t until SAG and now the Golden Globes that he moved firmly ahead of the likes of Bradley Cooper, Ben Affleck, and Ralph Fiennes in the race.

Loser: The I Hate Critics Podcast

So far, the movies that myself, Bob and Josh have loved the most are on the outside of the race looking in. Sure, “Gone Girl” isn’t eliminated but its chances of winning Best Picture have been severely challenged. “Enemy” likely came out too early in the year to be serious but A24 did send out the screener that most voters seemed to have ignored. The same goes for “Under the Skin.” Despite A24 sending out a screener Scarlett Johannson’s extraordinary performance remains ignored.

Winner “Birdman”

Neck and neck with “Boyhood” at the front of the pack, “Birdman” is probably at the front of the Las Vegas odds to win Best Picture. Hollywood has always had a soft spot for stories of the entertainment biz and with Edward Norton and Emma Stone gaining serious steam in the Supporting categories and Michael Keaton a Best Actor shoo-in, no film got a bigger boost from SAG and the Golden Globes.

Tied: “Selma”

It’s too early to say whether “Selma” is in the middle or the front of the pack for Best Picture. The MLK march picture from director Ava Duvernay wasn’t completed in time to get in front of SAG voters leaving the film unable to garner that extra buzz but it did screen for Golden Globes voters and scored nominations for Best Picture, Best Actor for David Oyelowo’s Martin Luther King Jr. and a rare Best Director nomination for Ava Duverney who could make history as the first African American woman to win Best Director. The real test for “Selma” could come with the Broadcast Film Critics who’ve been watching the film this week, ahead of the voting deadline for the Critics Choice Movie Awards on Friday. Whether all BFCA members get to see the film is a question. Certainly, Academy voters, including most SAG members, will have a chance to see “Selma” before the Academy deadline as the film is now ready to be shown on the big screen.

A full list of nominees for the Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild Awards are below:

Golden Globe Award

Golden Globe Award

Golden Globe Nominations

Best Motion Picture – Drama
“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”

Best Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo, “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes”
Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods”
Hellen Mirren, “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore, “Map to the Stars”
Quvenzhane Wallis – “Annie”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes”

Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryle Streep, “Into the Woods”

Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”

Best Director – Motion Picture
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Avu Duvernay, “Selma”
David Fincher, “Gone Girl”
Alejandro González Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater “Boyhood”

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Gone Girl”
“Birdman”
“Boyhood”
“The Imitation Game”

Best Animated Feature Film
“The Boxtrolls”
“Big Hero 6”
“The Book Of Live”
“How To Train Your Dragon 2”
“The Lego Movie”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Force Majure” – Sweden
“Gett, the Trial of Viviane Amsalem” – Israel
“Ida” – Poland
“Leviathan” – Russian
“Tangerines” – Estonia Georgia

Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“Big Eyes” – “Big Eyes” – Music and Lyrics by: Lana Del Rey
“Glory” – “Selma” – Music and Lyrics by: John Legend, Common
“Mercy Is” – “Noah” – Music and Lyrics by: Patti Smith, Lenny Kaye
“Opportunity” – “Annie” – Music and Lyrics by: Greg Kurstin, Sia Furler, Will Gluck
“Yellow Flicker Beat” – “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Pt. 1” Music and Lyrics by: Lorde

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
“The Imitation Game”
“The Theory of Everything”
“Gone Girl”
“Birdman”
“Interstellar”

Screen Actors Guild Awards Nominees

Screen Actors Guild Award "The Actor"

Screen Actors Guild Award “The Actor”

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
STEVE CARELL / John du Pont – “FOXCATCHER” (Sony Pictures Classics)
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / Alan Turing – “THE IMITATION GAME” (The Weinstein Company)
JAKE GYLLENHAAL / Louis Bloom – “NIGHTCRAWLER” (Open Road Films)
MICHAEL KEATON / Riggan – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
EDDIE REDMAYNE / Stephen Hawking – “THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING” (Focus Features)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
JENNIFER ANISTON / Claire Bennett – “CAKE” (Cinelou Films)
FELICITY JONES / Jane Hawking – “THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING” (Focus Features)
JULIANNE MOORE / Alice Howland-Jones – “STILL ALICE” (Sony Pictures Classics)
ROSAMUND PIKE / Amy Dunne – “GONE GIRL” (20th Century Fox)
REESE WITHERSPOON / Cheryl Strayed – “WILD” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
ROBERT DUVALL / Joseph Palmer – “THE JUDGE” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
ETHAN HAWKE / Mason, Sr. – “BOYHOOD” (IFC Films)
EDWARD NORTON / Mike – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
MARK RUFFALO / Dave Schultz – “FOXCATCHER” (Sony Pictures Classics)
J.K. SIMMONS / Fletcher – “WHIPLASH” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
PATRICIA ARQUETTE / Olivia – “BOYHOOD” (IFC Films)
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY / Joan Clarke – “THE IMITATION GAME” (The Weinstein Company)
EMMA STONE / Sam – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
MERYL STREEP / The Witch – “INTO THE WOODS” (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)
NAOMI WATTS / Daka – “ST. VINCENT” (The Weinstein Company)

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
BIRDMAN (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
ZACH GALIFIANAKIS / Jake
MICHAEL KEATON / Riggan
EDWARD NORTON / Mike
ANDREA RISEBOROUGH / Laura
AMY RYAN / Sylvia
EMMA STONE / Sam
NAOMI WATTS / Lesley

BOYHOOD (IFC Films)
PATRICIA ARQUETTE / Olivia
ELLAR COLTRANE / Mason
ETHAN HAWKE / Mason, Sr.
LORELEI LINKLATER / Samantha

THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
F. MURRAY ABRAHAM / Mr. Moustafa
MATHIEU AMALRIC / Serge X.
ADRIEN BRODY / Dmitri
WILLEM DAFOE / Jopling
RALPH FIENNES / M. Gustave
JEFF GOLDBLUM / Dep. Kovacs
HARVEY KEITEL / Ludwig
JUDE LAW / Young Writer
BILL MURRAY / M. Ivan
EDWARD NORTON / Henckels
TONY REVOLORI / Zero
SAOIRSE RONAN / Agatha
JASON SCHWARTZMAN / M. Jean
LÉA SEYDOUX / Clotilde
TILDA SWINTON / Madame D
TOM WILKINSON / Author
OWEN WILSON / M. Chuck

THE IMITATION GAME (The Weinstein Company)
MATTHEW BEARD / Peter Hilton
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / Alan Turing
CHARLES DANCE / Commander Denniston
MATTHEW GOODE / Hugh Alexander
RORY KINNEAR / Nock
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY / Joan Clarke
ALLEN LEECH / John Cairncross
MARK STRONG / Stewart Menzies

THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING (Focus Features)
CHARLIE COX / Jonathan Hellyer Jones
FELICITY JONES / Jane Hawking
SIMON McBURNEY / Frank Hawking
EDDIE REDMAYNE / Stephen Hawking
DAVID THEWLIS / Dennis Sciama
EMILY WATSON / Beryl Wilde

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